Sir Keir Starmer's Britain in 2024 is very different to Blair's 1997 world (2024)

Weather metaphors are easy and usually best avoided by political commentators.

But in the aftermath of this extraordinary election, it is worth breaking the rule to compare the moods in Westminster between today and 1997 - the last time Labour took power with a landslide majority in parliament.

Back then the sunshine broke out as delirious New Labourites jived to Things Can Only Get Better outside the Festival Hall and Tony Blair declared: "A new dawn has broken, has it not?"

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When Sir Keir Starmer delivered his victory speech in London last night, he appeared to reference Mr Blair when he spoke about "the sunlight of hope".

But he was speaking indoors at Tate Modern because there has been unrelenting drizzle in London this morning.

Rain and the lack of a real summer seemed to characterise this election campaign.

Rishi Sunak angered his party at the start of the campaign by announcing what it regarded as a premature election contest in torrential rain without an umbrella in the street outside Downing Street.

The air was damp again as he emerged from Number 10 to announce his resignation immediately as prime minister and, as soon as arrangements for his successor are in place, Conservative leader.

In the manner of his leaving, Mr Sunak was contrite, twice saying "I am sorry".

He described Sir Keir Starmer as "a decent, public-spirited man who I respect" - very different from the "lefty north London lawyer" he has belaboured repeatedly before his defeat.

Sir Keir won his massive majority with a much smaller share of the vote, 34% to Mr Blair's 43%. He has a parliamentary majority of about 170, slightly less than Mr Blair's 179.

But that is still an equivalently strong mandate to govern and to pass what he wants in parliament with ease.

After a largely defensive campaign, laying out what he would not do, it remains to be seen how bold he will be writing that legislative blank cheque.

Tony Blair won before the banking crisis and credit crunch, before the MPs' expenses scandal, before 9/11 and the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. Blair's best friend Lord Charlie Falconer concedes that today "there isn't that sense of optimism".

This parliament is going to be dramatically different from 2019 to 2024 and not just because of the Conservative-Labour switch.

The Liberal Democrats are resurgent, with the most MPs in their party's short history. They now displace the SNP as the UK's third-largest party in parliament.

Sir Ed Davey will now have a guaranteed pair of questions at PMQs, a bully pulpit which his predecessor Lord Paddy Ashdown made the best of.

In Scotland, the SNP have burnt through three leaders and first ministers since the last national election - just like the Conservatives. They too have been scythed down - losing 38 of their 48 seats last time.

Fringe voices have also thrived in the anti-Tory wave - Reform UK, including Nigel Farage, the Greens, and pro-Palestine independents including former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn.

Although each group only has a handful of MPs, they will be able to make their voices heard, after an election in which the two main parties combined captured less than 60% of the vote, a record low.

With so many parties in contention, Britain's first past the post electoral system has delivered some uneven results. Labour have 65% of the MPs with a 34% share of the vote.

All the other parties, including the Conservatives, have fewer seats than their percentage of votes would indicate. Reform UK have 14% but just four MPs.

There is likely now to be a clamour from the right demanding electoral reform, something Labour has not opposed in the past.

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In 1997, all Labour candidates rose on Blair's tide. In 2024 some shadow cabinet ministers who thought they were on their way into government for real lost their seats.

Jonathan Ashworth fell in Leicester and Thangam Debbonaire lost to the Greens in Bristol. Wes Streeting had a close call in Ilford - all down to pro-Palestinian campaigners.

These losses may point to a broad but thin level of support for Labour.

They are nothing compared to the wipeout of two-thirds of Conservative MPs.

The Sun's headline this morning is "Britain Sees Red" and it seems red rage with the Conservatives more than enthusiasm for Labour which has delivered this political transformation.

The Tories and their recent prime ministers have surely been punished.

Rishi Sunak delivered the worst-ever Tory general election result, but at least he kept his seat in North Yorkshire.

Each of the constituencies held by his four predecessors was lost by the party.

David Cameron's Witney and Theresa May's Maidenhead fell to the Liberal Democrats and Boris Johnson's Uxbridge and Liz Truss's South West Norfolk to Labour.

Former Cabinet minister Jacob Rees-Mogg, who symbolised the elitist Brexiteer government, was ousted in Somerset too. Michael Gove quit before he could lose his seat. A record half of the outgoing cabinet lost their seats. So has Damian Green a sometime de facto deputy prime minister.

Those who survive are dominated by moderates - Jeremy Hunt, James Cleverly, Tom Tugendhat and Laura Trott among them. But Suella Braverman, Kemi Badenoch, Ric Holden have survived as well.

In the coming months, whether or not there is a caretake leader, the Conservative Party is set to go on fighting the civil war between moderates and hard-liners which has so alienated voters.

There will be no honeymoon for Sir Keir Starmer.

British political life is more polarised, more bitter, less respected and even more physically dangerous than it was in 1997 - two MPs have been murdered while working in their constituencies since then.

Starmer has pledged "country first, party second" as "change begins" in the words of the newly amended Labour slogan. He has promised to end the chaos and restore a sense of service to government.

As he warned his cheering admirers "the going will get tough", it is fitting perhaps that he sets out on such a momentous and vital task on such a dreary day in Westminster.

Sir Keir Starmer's Britain in 2024 is very different to Blair's 1997 world (2024)

FAQs

What religion is Starmer? ›

Personal life. Starmer is an atheist, but has said that he "does believe in faith", and its power to bring people together.

How did Blair change labour? ›

Blair pursued a Third Way philosophy that sought to use the public and private sectors to stimulate economic growth and abandon Labour's commitment to nationalisation. Blair's approach to government included a greater reliance on the media, using that to set the national policy agenda, rather than Westminster.

What did Tony Blair do for the UK? ›

During his first term, Blair enacted constitutional reforms and significantly increased public spending on healthcare and education while also introducing controversial market-based reforms in these areas.

What illness did Keir Starmer's mum have? ›

Keir Rodney Starmer was born on 2 September 1962 in Southwark, London. He grew up in the town of Oxted in Surrey. He was the second of the four children of Josephine (née Baker), a nurse, and Rodney Starmer, a toolmaker. His mother had Still's disease.

Where does the name Starmer come from? ›

English:: habitational name from Starmore in Westrill (Leicestershire) from an Old English personal name Storm (genitive Stormes) + Old English worth 'enclosure'.

What football team does Keir Starmer support? ›

Sir Keir told FourFourTwo last year that the first game he ever attended was in fact a Tottenham Hotspur game, thanks to his under-11s team having been given free tickets by then-Spurs defender Phil Beal – but that he was already a devoted Arsenal fan by that time.

What happened in the UK in 1997? ›

Events from the year 1997 in the United Kingdom. This year is noted for a landslide general election victory for the Labour Party under Tony Blair; the handover of Hong Kong, the largest remaining British colony, to China; and the death of Diana, Princess of Wales.

Why did Blair resign as Prime Minister? ›

As a combined result of the Blair–Brown pact, the Iraq War and low approval ratings, pressure built up within the Labour Party for Blair to resign. Over the summer of 2006, many MPs criticised Blair for not calling for a ceasefire in the Israel–Lebanon conflict.

Who is the longest serving Prime Minister? ›

Notable lengths
  • 20 years and 314 days: Robert Walpole (1721–1742) Longest term and longest total tenure.
  • 12 years and 126 days: William Ewart Gladstone (1868–1874, 1880–1885, 1886, and 1892–1894) Most non-consecutive terms.
  • 11 years and 208 days: Margaret Thatcher (1979–1990) ...
  • 49 days: Liz Truss (2022)

Who was the Queen's favourite Prime Minister? ›

But there seems little doubt that her all-time favourite was her first prime minister, Winston Churchill, who greeted the young, distressed woman on her sudden return to Britain from Kenya on the death of her father, King George VI.

Did the Queen like Prime Minister Tony Blair? ›

Blair was rumored to have been one of Queen Elizabeth's least favorite Prime Ministers.

Why did Tony Blair win in 1997? ›

Opinion polls during campaigning showed strong support for Labour due to Blair's personal popularity, and Blair won a personal public endorsem*nt from The Sun newspaper two months before the vote.

What is Keir Starmer's plan? ›

Keir Starmer has consistently promised a government that will be both "pro-business and pro-worker". To do this, he has outlined key priorities his party will focus on if it makes it into No 10. Labour has won the general election - with Sir Keir Starmer declaring: "Change begins now."

Has Sir Keir Starmer been married before? ›

What was Keir Starmer's job before? ›

At the same time, Sir Keir continued his left-wing activism, as a prominent contributor to the magazine Socialist Lawyer. But politics was a side interest and, for much of the next 20 years, his legal career was his focus. In 2008, he became Director of Public Prosecutions, the chief prosecutor for England and Wales.

Is Keir Starmer's wife a lady? ›

Victoria, Lady Starmer (née Alexander; born 1973 or 1974) is a British former solicitor and the wife of Keir Starmer, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and leader of the Labour Party. As of July 2024, she works for the National Health Service (NHS) as an occupational health worker.

What does the Labour Party stand for? ›

The Labour Party is a social democratic political party in the United Kingdom that has been described as being an alliance of social democrats, democratic socialists, and trade unionists. The Labour Party sits on the centre-left of the political spectrum.

What faction is Keir Starmer in? ›

Political positions

When he was elected as Labour leader, Starmer was widely believed to belong to the soft left of the Labour Party. However, he has since moved to the political centre-ground.

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